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Red133
237433.6
281151.9
99730.4
Blue152
75329.2
546870.6
363656.3
5%Model gave it95%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114168100150200250133152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+21
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
23Coral scored#20
84Coral points71
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#10
12Processor points18
12Net points40
24Algae points58
108Total teleop129
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#4
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
133Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.8
51.151.9
Auto11.2
Teleop32.1
End8.7
blue by 18.7
70.60.7
66.065.3
Auto18.0
Teleop43.6
End9.0
Second
2374
#11
33.60.8
28.829.6
Auto1.6
Teleop29.2
End2.9
blue by 22.6
56.30.7
59.458.7
Auto10.7
Teleop43.6
End2.0
Third
997
#28
30.40.8
30.531.3
Auto5.9
Teleop24.6
End-0.2
red by 1.2
753
#12
29.20.7
26.225.4
Auto1.3
Teleop20.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned52%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned