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Red115
59758.7
448838.0
367455.7
Blue107
273327.4
683131.6
669652.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89987080110120130115107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+4
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +7
14Coral scored#18
49Coral points66
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
83Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#7
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
115Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.71.8
45.847.7
Auto12.2
Teleop37.3
End6.2
red by 3.5
6696
#14
52.20.9
43.844.7
Auto9.5
Teleop41.0
End1.7
Second
38.01.8
36.438.2
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End5.6
red by 6.4
6831
#27
31.60.9
28.329.2
Auto4.1
Teleop25.4
End2.2
Third
5975
#16
8.71.8
5.37.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.8
blue by 18.7
2733
#33
27.40.9
21.222.1
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed