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Red95
367327.8
291510.2
154051.6
Blue137
634344.9
597022.2
142550.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8510820406010012014016018095137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+28
Endgame+40
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +25
9Leave6
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points34
15Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +3
16Coral scored#16
58Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
76Total teleop79
Reef
8L4#8
3L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points2
95Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.61.1
38.439.5
Auto11.8
Teleop33.3
End6.5
red by 0.9
50.72.7
39.942.6
Auto16.0
Teleop27.7
End7.0
Second
3673
#25
27.81.1
25.326.3
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End1.2
blue by 17.1
6343
#17
44.92.7
41.644.3
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End1.6
Third
2915
#32
10.21.1
15.516.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End0.1
blue by 12.0
5970
#26
22.22.7
13.716.3
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned