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Red93
184418.3
404344.2
1044417.5
Blue133
255029.4
247143.9
943031.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83109406010012014016093133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+34
Fouls+40
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +25
11Coral scored#13
39Coral points46
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
12Processor points18
12Net points24
24Algae points42
63Total teleop88
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#6
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points6
93Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4043
#30
44.20.6
49.950.5
Auto7.7
Teleop32.1
End4.4
red by 0.2
43.91.7
41.242.9
Auto7.7
Teleop30.9
End5.3
Second
1844
#23
18.30.6
14.715.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.4
blue by 13.1
9430
#15
31.41.7
22.023.7
Auto5.9
Teleop20.8
End4.6
Third
17.50.6
10.811.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
blue by 11.9
2550
#19
29.41.7
29.331.0
Auto4.1
Teleop18.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned