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Red111
956724.9
75329.2
960036.1
Blue147
135916.1
669652.2
95760.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9113850100150200111147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+50
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +39
14Coral scored#16
51Coral points58
1Processor algae#5
3Net algae#5
6Processor points30
12Net points20
18Algae points50
69Total teleop108
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#4
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#30
BargeRed +14
30Cage & park16
30Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
111Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9600
#18
36.11.5
29.631.1
Auto7.3
Teleop22.8
End6.0
blue by 24.0
957
#1
60.11.8
54.356.0
Auto17.6
Teleop34.7
End7.8
Second
753
#12
29.21.5
25.426.9
Auto1.3
Teleop20.2
End7.7
blue by 23.1
6696
#14
52.21.8
44.746.5
Auto9.5
Teleop41.0
End1.7
Third
9567
#13
24.91.5
21.923.4
Auto6.0
Teleop14.1
End4.8
red by 8.8
1359
#31
16.11.8
10.712.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned