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Red111
95760.1
302419.0
956724.9
Blue71
644336.0
252143.9
159518.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10410605015020025011171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave0
5Coral scored#7
26Coral points37
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +51
15Coral scored#4
55Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
69Total teleop18
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#4
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
111Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#1
60.10.7
53.554.3
Auto17.6
Teleop34.7
End7.8
red by 16.2
2521
#10
43.92.0
36.534.5
Auto14.0
Teleop27.0
End2.9
Second
9567
#13
24.90.7
21.221.9
Auto6.0
Teleop14.1
End4.8
blue by 11.2
6443
#22
36.02.0
35.333.2
Auto6.7
Teleop22.8
End6.6
Third
3024
#34
19.00.7
17.418.1
Auto4.0
Teleop12.4
End2.6
red by 0.8
1595
#21
18.22.0
20.718.7
Auto6.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned