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Red52
135916.1
597022.2
466223.9
Blue56
469232.0
1044417.5
59758.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635401001502002503003505256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
6Coral scored#4
20Coral points16
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
24Total teleop30
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
12Foul points6
52Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4662
#20
23.91.2
29.027.7
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End2.6
blue by 8.1
4692
#24
32.00.1
32.232.1
Auto6.3
Teleop25.2
End0.6
Second
5970
#26
22.21.2
14.913.7
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End7.1
red by 4.7
17.50.1
10.910.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Third
1359
#31
16.11.2
12.010.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End4.6
red by 7.4
5975
#16
8.70.1
5.45.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed