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Red125
427058.4
35954.2
833916.1
Blue139
312855.1
546849.4
944914.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127131100110120140150160125139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+4
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +3
17Coral scored#13
60Coral points45
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
18Processor points18
8Net points20
26Algae points38
86Total teleop83
Reef
9L4#8
4L3#5
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
125Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.4
52.953.2
Auto10.7
Teleop39.9
End7.9
red by 3.4
55.10.8
52.653.4
Auto8.4
Teleop36.4
End10.2
Second
359
#1
54.20.3
49.149.4
Auto12.8
Teleop33.4
End7.9
red by 4.8
49.40.8
46.947.7
Auto10.0
Teleop31.4
End7.9
Third
8339
#38
16.10.3
11.011.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End2.5
red by 2.0
9449
#27
14.10.8
11.612.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.4