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Red54
927726.2
84630.1
442132.7
Blue93
212245.6
639017.8
243845.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10312760801201401601805493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+43
Endgame+45
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave3
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points30
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +26
6Coral scored#11
20Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
30Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#6
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +39
6Foul points0
54Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4421
#12
32.71.3
34.032.7
Auto5.6
Teleop24.2
End3.0
blue by 13.0
2438
#21
45.70.5
46.145.7
Auto9.4
Teleop33.3
End3.0
Second
846
#36
30.11.2
31.330.1
Auto3.3
Teleop25.8
End1.0
blue by 15.5
45.60.5
46.145.6
Auto14.7
Teleop26.2
End4.6
Third
9277
#16
26.21.2
27.426.2
Auto4.9
Teleop17.6
End3.6
red by 8.4
6390
#33
17.80.5
18.317.8
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End1.4