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Red151
427058.4
35954.2
833916.1
Blue111
212245.6
639017.8
243845.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241186080100140160180151111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+20Teleop
+42Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points27
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +23
21Coral scored#12
77Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
95Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#6
10L3#4
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#23
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points2
151Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.41.1
53.254.3
Auto10.7
Teleop39.9
End7.9
red by 12.8
2438
#21
45.70.0
45.745.7
Auto9.4
Teleop33.3
End3.0
Second
359
#1
54.21.0
49.450.4
Auto12.8
Teleop33.4
End7.9
red by 8.6
45.60.0
45.645.6
Auto14.7
Teleop26.2
End4.6
Third
8339
#38
16.11.0
11.312.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End2.5
blue by 1.8
6390
#33
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End1.4