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Red118
404344.2
252143.9
683131.6
Blue124
546870.6
466223.9
634344.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11916150100150200118124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave9
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +17
16Coral scored#15
58Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
6Processor points6
24Net points12
30Algae points18
88Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#10
5L3#6
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points2
118Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4043
#30
44.20.3
42.542.2
Auto7.7
Teleop32.1
End4.4
blue by 26.4
70.62.1
69.267.1
Auto18.0
Teleop43.6
End9.0
Second
2521
#10
43.90.3
42.942.6
Auto14.0
Teleop27.0
End2.9
blue by 1.1
6343
#17
44.92.1
47.945.8
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End1.6
Third
6831
#27
31.60.3
28.428.1
Auto4.1
Teleop25.4
End2.2
red by 7.7
4662
#20
23.92.1
28.726.6
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed50%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned