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Red169
448827.8
546876.2
367468.7
Blue171
281154.0
363655.3
142550.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195161100150250169171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave0
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points26
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +24
18Coral scored#28
63Coral points99
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
99Total teleop123
Reef
7L4#11
7L3#9
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#8
33Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points6
169Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.20.2
78.177.9
Auto18.8
Teleop45.2
End12.2
red by 20.9
3636
#13
55.30.2
52.953.2
Auto12.7
Teleop42.5
End0.0
Second
68.70.2
70.770.5
Auto18.5
Teleop39.9
End10.3
red by 14.8
2811
#10
54.00.2
53.954.1
Auto11.2
Teleop35.7
End7.0
Third
4488
#11
27.80.2
29.729.5
Auto7.1
Teleop18.2
End2.5
blue by 22.4
50.20.2
47.848.1
Auto13.8
Teleop28.2
End8.2