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Red135
367468.7
469228.1
945073.2
Blue137
448827.8
404326.1
546876.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20813650100150250300135137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points34
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +4
15Coral scored#17
54Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
80Total teleop84
Reef
8L4#9
6L3#5
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
2Foul points0
135Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.23.1
74.871.7
Auto12.7
Teleop50.8
End9.8
blue by 3.0
76.20.2
77.978.1
Auto18.8
Teleop45.2
End12.2
Second
68.73.1
73.870.7
Auto18.5
Teleop39.9
End10.3
red by 40.9
4488
#11
27.80.2
29.529.7
Auto7.1
Teleop18.2
End2.5
Third
4692
#21
28.13.1
31.228.1
Auto7.3
Teleop20.1
End0.7
red by 2.0
4043
#15
26.10.2
25.926.1
Auto8.9
Teleop15.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned