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Red187
999849.5
999427.6
241274.4
Blue158
154034.6
945073.2
669643.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081740200300400500187158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave0
10Coral scored#5
51Coral points23
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
28Coral scored#18
102Coral points63
2Processor algae#5
4Net algae#9
12Processor points30
16Net points36
28Algae points66
130Total teleop129
Reef
10L4#7
16L3#9
5L2#3
7L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
187Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.41.4
67.468.8
Auto13.0
Teleop51.6
End9.8
red by 1.2
73.20.2
71.771.9
Auto12.7
Teleop50.8
End9.8
Second
49.52.2
38.540.7
Auto11.6
Teleop35.6
End2.4
red by 5.8
43.70.2
42.342.5
Auto9.1
Teleop34.9
End-0.3
Third
9994
#17
27.62.2
16.618.9
Auto2.4
Teleop20.9
End4.4
blue by 7.0
1540
#14
34.60.2
34.434.6
Auto4.2
Teleop24.7
End5.7