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Red155
281154.0
363655.3
142550.2
Blue229
999849.5
999427.6
241274.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172113050150200250300350155229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+58
Endgame+80
Fouls+74
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave6
9Coral scored#5
43Coral points24
43Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +71
23Coral scored#30
82Coral points107
2Processor algae#5
2Net algae#9
12Processor points30
8Net points36
20Algae points66
102Total teleop173
Reef
16L4#12
5L3#10
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#6
36Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +74
6Foul points0
155Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#13
55.30.3
53.252.9
Auto12.7
Teleop42.5
End0.0
blue by 19.1
74.42.1
68.870.9
Auto13.0
Teleop51.6
End9.8
Second
2811
#10
54.00.3
54.153.8
Auto11.2
Teleop35.7
End7.0
red by 4.5
49.53.3
40.744.0
Auto11.6
Teleop35.6
End2.4
Third
50.20.3
48.147.8
Auto13.8
Teleop28.2
End8.2
red by 22.6
9994
#17
27.63.3
18.922.2
Auto2.4
Teleop20.9
End4.4