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Red100
448827.8
546876.2
367468.7
Blue177
644332.2
945073.2
669643.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195151050100250300350100177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+69
Endgame+77
Fouls+77
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points21
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +83
7Coral scored#26
26Coral points95
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
40Total teleop123
Reef
7L4#12
2L3#9
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +77
0Foul points0
100Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.21.7
77.976.2
Auto18.8
Teleop45.2
End12.2
red by 3.0
73.20.7
71.972.6
Auto12.7
Teleop50.8
End9.8
Second
68.71.7
70.568.7
Auto18.5
Teleop39.9
End10.3
red by 25.0
43.70.7
42.543.2
Auto9.1
Teleop34.9
End-0.3
Third
4488
#11
27.81.7
29.527.8
Auto7.1
Teleop18.2
End2.5
blue by 4.4
32.20.7
30.931.6
Auto8.5
Teleop14.9
End8.8