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Red199
999320.5
363655.3
142550.2
Blue197
644332.2
945073.2
669643.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120168050100150200250300350199197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+18Teleop
+6Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points27
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +4
30Coral scored#29
109Coral points105
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
141Total teleop137
Reef
11L4#13
15L3#10
4L2#6
9L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points4
199Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#13
55.31.3
52.954.2
Auto12.7
Teleop42.5
End0.0
blue by 17.9
73.20.5
72.673.2
Auto12.7
Teleop50.8
End9.8
Second
50.21.3
47.849.1
Auto13.8
Teleop28.2
End8.2
red by 6.4
43.70.5
43.243.7
Auto9.1
Teleop34.9
End-0.3
Third
9993
#12
20.52.0
17.018.9
Auto4.0
Teleop13.7
End2.9
blue by 11.7
32.20.5
31.632.2
Auto8.5
Teleop14.9
End8.8