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Red227
999849.5
999427.6
241274.4
Blue169
281154.0
363655.3
142550.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251730300400500600700227169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+62Teleop
+52Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave9
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points14
36Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +49
25Coral scored#21
89Coral points76
8Processor algae#2
8Net algae#8
48Processor points12
32Net points32
80Algae points44
169Total teleop120
Reef
9L4#10
10L3#7
7L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
47Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +58
6Foul points0
227Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.41.7
70.972.7
Auto13.0
Teleop51.6
End9.8
red by 19.1
3636
#13
55.30.1
54.254.3
Auto12.7
Teleop42.5
End0.0
Second
49.52.7
44.046.8
Auto11.6
Teleop35.6
End2.4
blue by 4.5
2811
#10
54.00.1
53.854.0
Auto11.2
Teleop35.7
End7.0
Third
9994
#17
27.62.7
22.224.9
Auto2.4
Teleop20.9
End4.4
blue by 22.6
50.20.1
49.149.2
Auto13.8
Teleop28.2
End8.2