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Qual 852025 Pacific Northwest FIRST District Championship
Red204
95767.2
36057.2
367467.3
Blue156
546879.7
406147.2
944632.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214182150200250204156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+26Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave3
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points31
36Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +24
27Coral scored#21
96Coral points76
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
12Processor points12
24Net points20
36Algae points32
132Total teleop108
Reef
8L4#8
12L3#9
5L2#5
8L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#34
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
204Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3674
#7
67.30.1
67.3→67.2
Auto16.2
Teleop40.4
End10.7
blue by 12.4
5468
#19
79.71.3
82.8→81.5
Auto19.3
Teleop49.3
End11.0
Second
957
#17
67.20.1
66.7→66.7
Auto16.6
Teleop39.6
End10.9
red by 20.0
4061
#42
47.21.3
47.6→46.3
Auto9.8
Teleop35.7
End1.7
Third
360
#46
57.20.1
59.6→59.5
Auto10.2
Teleop42.1
End4.9
red by 24.4
9446
#34
32.81.3
33.4→32.2
Auto5.7
Teleop23.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
71%Coral oddsEarned87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned