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Red215
154071.2
321857.1
247157.2
Blue175
48862.3
644333.8
446962.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200163100150250300215175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+18Teleop
+28Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points23
29Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +15
30Coral scored#26
108Coral points95
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
18Processor points12
24Net points28
42Algae points40
150Total teleop135
Reef
10L4#14
14L3#10
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
44Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
12Foul points0
215Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.20.8
66.667.5
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End8.2
red by 8.9
488
#36
62.30.9
58.059.0
Auto12.7
Teleop47.2
End2.4
Second
2471
#16
57.20.8
55.656.5
Auto9.7
Teleop40.1
End7.4
blue by 4.9
4469
#43
62.10.9
59.260.1
Auto13.9
Teleop45.8
End2.4
Third
3218
#23
57.10.9
56.857.7
Auto13.6
Teleop38.0
End5.4
red by 23.3
6443
#49
33.80.9
32.733.6
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned