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Red132
546865.8
75321.1
273319.1
Blue99
237429.1
703451.0
669638.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231535010020013299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+9Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +23
16Coral scored#12
59Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
83Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#8
7L3#5
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#22
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
132Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.81.5
70.772.2
Auto18.0
Teleop38.0
End9.8
red by 14.8
51.02.4
55.352.9
Auto17.4
Teleop27.8
End5.9
Second
753
#10
21.11.5
19.621.0
Auto2.1
Teleop11.4
End7.6
blue by 17.8
6696
#19
38.92.4
48.345.9
Auto9.5
Teleop29.6
End-0.3
Third
2733
#23
19.11.5
19.721.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9
blue by 10.0
29.12.4
31.228.8
Auto4.2
Teleop23.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed