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Red53
74916.3
263515.5
644324.6
Blue105
363653.0
404332.5
999817.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7211805010015020025053105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+33
Teleop+66
Endgame+54
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +33
0Leave0
4Coral scored#10
18Coral points51
18Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +33
4Coral scored#11
15Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
19Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
9Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
2Foul points0
53Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.61.1
26.125.0
Auto8.7
Teleop7.6
End8.3
blue by 28.5
3636
#12
53.00.3
55.455.7
Auto15.6
Teleop37.6
End-0.1
Second
749
#21
16.31.1
19.418.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.0
End1.3
blue by 16.2
32.50.3
34.234.5
Auto10.7
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Third
2635
#17
15.51.1
21.720.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End3.0
blue by 2.0
17.50.5
11.011.5
Auto6.3
Teleop9.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed