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Red72
255016.5
154046.7
252133.1
Blue122
299030.5
142555.0
95753.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12217505010015020025030072122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+48
Endgame+52
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave3
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points34
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +27
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points39
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
42Total teleop69
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#4
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
2Foul points0
72Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#11
46.72.6
51.849.2
Auto6.9
Teleop34.1
End5.8
blue by 8.3
55.01.5
58.657.2
Auto16.4
Teleop30.1
End8.6
Second
2521
#15
33.12.6
36.333.7
Auto11.7
Teleop19.0
End2.3
blue by 20.4
957
#4
53.51.5
58.056.5
Auto17.5
Teleop27.8
End8.2
Third
2550
#16
16.52.6
20.918.3
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End3.4
blue by 13.9
2990
#14
30.51.5
27.726.2
Auto3.5
Teleop22.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned