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Red151
247150.6
95753.5
154046.7
Blue117
142555.0
99728.3
252133.1
67%Model gave it33%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191140050100250300350400151117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+26Teleop
+38Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave9
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points14
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +5
18Coral scored#11
63Coral points40
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
12Processor points18
8Net points20
20Algae points38
83Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#6
9L3#3
4L2#2
6L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
8Foul points12
151Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#4
53.51.7
59.658.0
Auto17.5
Teleop27.8
End8.2
blue by 1.5
55.01.8
60.558.6
Auto16.4
Teleop30.1
End8.6
Second
50.61.7
52.450.8
Auto16.0
Teleop29.0
End5.6
red by 17.5
2521
#15
33.11.8
38.236.3
Auto11.7
Teleop19.0
End2.3
Third
1540
#11
46.71.7
53.451.8
Auto6.9
Teleop34.1
End5.8
red by 18.5
997
#20
28.31.8
31.029.1
Auto5.8
Teleop22.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed61%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsMissed