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Red61
13596.4
644324.6
299030.5
Blue87
95544.5
74916.3
404332.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6612901002003004006187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+40
Endgame+28
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
17Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +28
5Coral scored#12
18Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
26Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
2Foul points0
61Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#14
30.50.4
28.127.7
Auto3.5
Teleop22.4
End4.5
blue by 14.0
955
#13
44.51.2
49.348.1
Auto15.2
Teleop29.1
End0.2
Second
24.60.4
26.526.1
Auto8.7
Teleop7.6
End8.3
blue by 7.9
32.51.2
35.534.2
Auto10.7
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Third
1359
#22
6.40.4
11.110.6
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End2.9
blue by 9.9
749
#21
16.31.2
20.619.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed