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Red235
404352.0
48862.3
2910115.2
Blue191
546879.7
412526.9
669659.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236163100150200250300235191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+32Teleop
+40Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points34
50Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +22
29Coral scored#23
103Coral points81
3Processor algae#3
9Net algae#9
18Processor points18
36Net points36
54Algae points54
157Total teleop135
Reef
13L4#15
11L3#6
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
49Game pieces#42
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
4Foul points0
235Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.20.0
111.2111.2
Auto26.5
Teleop76.6
End12.2
red by 35.6
5468
#19
79.71.5
77.178.6
Auto19.3
Teleop49.3
End11.0
Second
488
#36
62.30.0
54.854.8
Auto12.7
Teleop47.2
End2.4
red by 2.8
6696
#31
59.51.5
54.756.2
Auto11.4
Teleop47.1
End1.1
Third
4043
#10
52.00.0
53.953.9
Auto11.5
Teleop33.5
End7.0
red by 25.1
4125
#50
26.91.5
25.326.8
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned