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Qual 452025 Pacific Northwest FIRST District Championship
Red166
154071.2
382629.3
95767.2
Blue193
367467.3
142566.7
406147.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1751810100300400166193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+27
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave9
6Coral scored#10
31Coral points48
37Total auto57
TeleoperatedBlue +7
20Coral scored#20
71Coral points72
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
18Processor points12
16Net points28
34Algae points40
105Total teleop112
Reef
12L4#11
7L3#9
5L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
166Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#6
71.20.7
60.9→61.6
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End8.2
red by 3.9
3674
#7
67.32.0
65.1→67.1
Auto16.2
Teleop40.4
End10.7
Second
957
#17
67.20.7
66.2→66.9
Auto16.6
Teleop39.6
End10.9
red by 0.5
1425
#11
66.72.0
57.1→59.1
Auto20.2
Teleop38.0
End8.5
Third
3826
#45
29.30.7
28.2→28.9
Auto7.1
Teleop17.8
End4.4
blue by 17.9
4061
#42
47.22.0
40.9→42.9
Auto9.8
Teleop35.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned73%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned