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Red207
703455.3
247157.2
252270.8
Blue189
944271.9
902370.5
36057.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161207100150250300207189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+8
+6Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
8Coral scored#4
41Coral points21
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +22
26Coral scored#33
93Coral points119
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
18Processor points18
24Net points20
42Algae points38
135Total teleop157
Reef
14L4#16
10L3#10
7L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#45
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
12Foul points0
207Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.81.6
64.165.7
Auto21.5
Teleop44.7
End4.6
blue by 1.1
9442
#29
71.91.6
69.668.0
Auto15.6
Teleop53.7
End2.7
Second
2471
#16
57.21.6
52.353.8
Auto9.7
Teleop40.1
End7.4
blue by 13.4
70.51.6
67.465.7
Auto14.0
Teleop53.1
End3.4
Third
7034
#18
55.31.6
41.042.6
Auto13.6
Teleop33.7
End8.0
blue by 1.9
360
#46
57.21.6
62.160.4
Auto10.2
Teleop42.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsEarned68%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsMissed