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Red127
281143.4
634342.0
159519.3
Blue142
592038.0
546859.2
413129.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161426080100160180200127142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
Endgame+13
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points27
30Total auto33
Teleoperatedlevel
16Coral scored#19
59Coral points67
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
18Processor points6
16Net points20
34Algae points26
93Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#11
6L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points2
127Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.41.2
38.439.6
Auto9.0
Teleop26.8
End7.6
blue by 15.8
59.20.9
57.158.0
Auto15.3
Teleop35.0
End8.9
Second
6343
#13
42.01.2
38.940.0
Auto7.7
Teleop33.1
End1.2
red by 4.1
38.00.9
31.132.0
Auto5.7
Teleop31.1
End1.2
Third
1595
#33
19.31.7
20.922.6
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5
blue by 10.1
29.30.9
27.328.2
Auto5.0
Teleop17.4
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned