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Red127
451347.8
498027.8
853218.2
Blue113
381216.5
406137.7
412521.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10878204060100120140160180127113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
0Teleop0
+16Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +3
20Coral scored#20
71Coral points72
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
95Total teleop98
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#9
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#28
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points2
127Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.81.8
42.944.8
Auto5.1
Teleop31.9
End10.8
red by 10.1
4061
#12
37.72.3
35.337.6
Auto6.1
Teleop29.4
End2.2
Second
4980
#22
27.81.8
27.429.2
Auto4.7
Teleop18.9
End4.3
red by 6.3
4125
#28
21.62.3
15.918.1
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End0.6
Third
8532
#17
18.21.8
17.919.7
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End6.8
red by 1.7
3812
#27
16.52.3
14.716.9
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed