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Red239
167886.8
623846.5
97250.7
Blue144
546875.8
541951.1
502652.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194200120140160180220240239144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+55Teleop
+65Endgame
+95Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
9Coral scored#7
45Coral points37
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +41
24Coral scored#18
88Coral points65
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
18Processor points12
28Net points16
46Algae points28
134Total teleop93
Reef
15L4#14
7L3#5
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +95
30Foul points0
239Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.82.1
87.389.4
Auto24.2
Teleop54.1
End8.5
red by 11.0
5468
#25
75.82.9
77.474.5
Auto17.6
Teleop47.9
End10.3
Second
972
#35
50.72.1
49.151.2
Auto11.1
Teleop31.5
End8.1
blue by 1.6
5026
#33
52.32.9
55.953.0
Auto15.7
Teleop31.4
End5.3
Third
6238
#23
46.52.1
41.343.4
Auto9.3
Teleop29.5
End7.7
blue by 4.7
5419
#40
51.12.9
54.751.7
Auto10.3
Teleop33.3
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned45%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsMissed