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Red202
594084.1
803361.0
304568.4
Blue167
291099.9
204661.2
350153.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230246100150200300350202167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+33Teleop
+37Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
10Coral scored#7
52Coral points37
58Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +15
25Coral scored#23
90Coral points81
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
128Total teleop113
Reef
15L4#9
8L3#9
8L2#6
4L1 · trough#6
43Game pieces#37
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points2
202Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#11
84.10.8
85.884.9
Auto23.3
Teleop52.1
End8.7
blue by 15.8
99.93.9
103.699.7
Auto27.8
Teleop61.9
End10.2
Second
3045
#10
68.40.8
66.665.8
Auto13.8
Teleop44.0
End10.6
red by 7.2
2046
#41
61.23.9
64.160.2
Auto12.6
Teleop43.0
End5.6
Third
8033
#37
61.00.8
62.061.1
Auto16.2
Teleop36.8
End8.0
red by 7.5
3501
#31
53.43.9
55.651.7
Auto14.5
Teleop35.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsMissed