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Red143
97359.8
347868.0
940871.8
Blue211
949677.0
603657.0
473874.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211213160180200220240260143211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+54
Endgame+66
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
6Coral scored#8
28Coral points41
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +47
16Coral scored#32
58Coral points115
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
92Total teleop139
Reef
8L4#22
7L3#7
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points2
143Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9408
#17
71.83.7
67.163.4
Auto10.1
Teleop53.7
End8.0
blue by 5.2
9496
#20
77.00.7
71.071.8
Auto18.3
Teleop51.6
End7.1
Second
3478
#22
68.03.7
70.366.6
Auto17.6
Teleop44.5
End6.0
blue by 6.5
4738
#16
74.50.7
70.971.6
Auto19.9
Teleop44.3
End10.3
Third
973
#39
59.83.7
61.157.4
Auto12.1
Teleop38.8
End9.0
red by 2.8
6036
#34
57.00.7
56.457.1
Auto13.2
Teleop40.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned