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Red161
546870.6
956724.9
95760.1
Blue137
154051.6
142550.7
99730.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176141100120160200220240161137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+14Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
9Coral scored#7
44Coral points35
47Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +11
17Coral scored#10
60Coral points37
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#9
18Processor points6
12Net points36
30Algae points42
90Total teleop79
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#5
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
161Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.60.1
70.570.6
Auto18.0
Teleop43.6
End9.0
red by 19.0
51.60.1
51.551.6
Auto11.8
Teleop33.3
End6.5
Second
957
#1
60.10.1
59.960.1
Auto17.6
Teleop34.7
End7.8
red by 9.4
50.70.1
50.650.7
Auto16.0
Teleop27.7
End7.0
Third
9567
#13
24.90.1
24.824.9
Auto6.0
Teleop14.1
End4.8
blue by 5.5
997
#28
30.40.1
30.330.4
Auto5.9
Teleop24.6
End-0.2