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Red193
131868.8
546879.7
95767.2
Blue198
944271.9
36057.2
154071.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235208150250300193198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+5Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
10Coral scored#7
51Coral points34
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +9
25Coral scored#29
90Coral points103
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
24Processor points12
12Net points20
36Algae points32
126Total teleop135
Reef
8L4#15
12L3#6
9L2#11
6L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
193Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#19
79.70.6
80.880.2
Auto19.3
Teleop49.3
End11.0
red by 7.8
9442
#29
71.90.0
71.671.6
Auto15.6
Teleop53.7
End2.7
Second
68.80.6
69.969.3
Auto16.3
Teleop45.1
End7.4
blue by 2.4
71.20.0
70.970.9
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End8.2
Third
957
#17
67.20.6
68.367.7
Auto16.6
Teleop39.6
End10.9
red by 10.0
360
#46
57.20.0
56.956.8
Auto10.2
Teleop42.1
End4.9