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Red259
945082.5
94845.9
177891.8
Blue239
593758.1
252270.8
902370.5
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233211150200250300259239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave3
12Coral scored#10
61Coral points48
64Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +5
35Coral scored#28
127Coral points102
4Processor algae#4
4Net algae#9
24Processor points24
16Net points36
40Algae points60
167Total teleop162
Reef
24L4#12
12L3#7
6L2#12
5L1 · trough#7
55Game pieces#51
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +20
2Foul points2
259Total score239

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.81.0
89.390.3
Auto21.2
Teleop66.8
End3.9
red by 21.0
70.81.0
68.969.9
Auto21.5
Teleop44.7
End4.6
Second
9450
#15
82.51.0
79.980.9
Auto19.0
Teleop53.3
End10.2
red by 11.9
70.51.0
68.669.6
Auto14.0
Teleop53.1
End3.4
Third
948
#44
45.91.0
43.444.4
Auto9.1
Teleop31.1
End5.8
blue by 12.2
5937
#25
58.11.0
56.257.2
Auto6.0
Teleop45.2
End6.9