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Red261
2910115.2
703455.3
293074.3
Blue227
255754.7
142566.7
367467.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263203150250300350261227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+24Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
6Leave3
14Coral scored#9
71Coral points47
77Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +3
31Coral scored#31
110Coral points113
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
18Processor points18
20Net points20
38Algae points38
148Total teleop151
Reef
16L4#15
11L3#11
12L2#8
6L1 · trough#6
53Game pieces#48
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
261Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.20.5
112.9113.4
Auto26.5
Teleop76.6
End12.2
red by 47.9
67.30.9
66.667.5
Auto16.2
Teleop40.4
End10.7
Second
2930
#20
74.30.5
72.072.5
Auto21.0
Teleop43.1
End10.2
red by 7.6
1425
#11
66.70.9
66.066.9
Auto20.2
Teleop38.0
End8.5
Third
7034
#18
55.30.5
53.053.5
Auto13.6
Teleop33.7
End8.0
red by 0.6
2557
#30
54.70.9
53.954.8
Auto7.5
Teleop41.5
End5.7