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Red146
546865.8
237429.1
247150.6
Blue170
95753.5
363653.0
999817.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165114050100150200146170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+20
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points31
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +27
13Coral scored#23
48Coral points83
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
18Processor points18
20Net points12
38Algae points30
86Total teleop113
Reef
5L4#8
7L3#11
6L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +24
2Foul points6
146Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.80.0
66.066.0
Auto18.0
Teleop38.0
End9.8
red by 12.3
957
#4
53.51.1
50.851.9
Auto17.5
Teleop27.8
End8.2
Second
50.60.0
50.850.8
Auto16.0
Teleop29.0
End5.6
blue by 2.4
3636
#12
53.01.1
50.451.5
Auto15.6
Teleop37.6
End-0.1
Third
29.10.0
29.329.3
Auto4.2
Teleop23.3
End1.6
red by 11.6
17.51.6
13.715.2
Auto6.3
Teleop9.6
End1.7