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Red137
512426.4
741533.7
44975.4
Blue134
546878.2
744442.1
171055.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13019850100150250300137134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points28
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +3
22Coral scored#15
78Coral points55
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
96Total teleop93
Reef
11L4#8
4L3#6
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
12Foul points0
137Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#10
75.40.3
66.266.5
Auto13.2
Teleop52.8
End9.4
blue by 2.8
5468
#13
78.22.9
78.275.4
Auto19.4
Teleop47.5
End11.2
Second
7415
#63
33.70.3
27.928.2
Auto5.1
Teleop26.0
End2.6
blue by 21.7
1710
#58
55.42.9
54.651.8
Auto13.2
Teleop36.6
End5.5
Third
5124
#50
26.40.3
26.126.5
Auto4.6
Teleop20.6
End1.2
blue by 15.7
7444
#75
42.12.9
41.038.2
Auto11.1
Teleop30.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed49%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed