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Red154
490534.1
393774.7
138865.9
Blue163
29467.3
384763.1
555328.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17415950100200250154163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +2
24Coral scored#21
85Coral points75
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
6Processor points18
24Net points24
30Algae points42
115Total teleop117
Reef
11L4#12
8L3#6
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
154Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.70.0
64.164.1
Auto15.8
Teleop49.6
End9.3
red by 7.4
294
#37
67.31.4
59.160.5
Auto14.0
Teleop48.6
End4.7
Second
1388
#26
65.90.0
55.655.6
Auto12.8
Teleop44.8
End8.3
red by 2.8
3847
#20
63.11.4
59.160.5
Auto10.8
Teleop44.5
End7.9
Third
4905
#66
34.10.0
34.034.1
Auto8.4
Teleop21.2
End4.5
red by 5.2
5553
#54
28.91.4
24.225.6
Auto3.9
Teleop21.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
71%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned