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Red204
188037.6
673834.4
2910117.0
Blue232
283272.4
742673.1
42295.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204249150300350204232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+12
Endgame+32
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
6Coral scored#8
28Coral points41
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +5
28Coral scored#34
101Coral points122
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
24Processor points12
20Net points16
44Algae points28
145Total teleop150
Reef
9L4#10
11L3#16
10L2#11
4L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
6Foul points2
204Total score232

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.00.2
115.9116.1
Auto28.1
Teleop75.8
End13.1
red by 21.3
422
#4
95.70.5
91.691.1
Auto20.4
Teleop62.0
End13.3
Second
1880
#42
37.60.2
39.039.2
Auto7.4
Teleop28.3
End1.9
blue by 35.5
73.10.5
64.764.2
Auto14.5
Teleop50.0
End8.6
Third
6738
#59
34.40.2
29.229.4
Auto12.7
Teleop21.1
End0.5
blue by 38.1
72.40.5
70.469.9
Auto19.7
Teleop45.1
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned100%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsEarned100%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned