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Red225
241261.3
699641.8
1323113.5
Blue167
614773.2
409115.2
694060.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25013850100200300350225167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+42Teleop
+62Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points24
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +28
26Coral scored#24
95Coral points85
5Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
30Processor points12
20Net points20
50Algae points32
145Total teleop117
Reef
10L4#11
9L3#11
8L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#36
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points4
225Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.50.4
116.1115.7
Auto27.2
Teleop73.8
End12.5
red by 40.3
6147
#16
73.21.2
67.068.3
Auto18.3
Teleop46.2
End8.7
Second
2412
#21
61.30.4
60.059.6
Auto14.3
Teleop38.5
End8.5
red by 1.2
6940
#52
60.11.2
53.855.0
Auto19.2
Teleop34.3
End6.5
Third
6996
#18
41.80.4
43.142.8
Auto9.2
Teleop23.3
End9.3
red by 26.6
4091
#73
15.21.2
12.613.8
Auto3.1
Teleop11.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
88%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned