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Red207
12579.9
1007729.5
645960.7
Blue188
304464.8
86882.4
547248.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163221100150200250300207188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+35Teleop
+25Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
8Coral scored#8
40Coral points38
43Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +39
30Coral scored#16
108Coral points59
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#8
12Processor points18
28Net points32
40Algae points50
148Total teleop109
Reef
13L4#10
9L3#4
9L2#6
7L1 · trough#4
47Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points6
207Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#55
79.93.0
75.278.2
Auto22.8
Teleop47.1
End10.0
blue by 2.5
868
#11
82.41.8
84.382.6
Auto20.3
Teleop49.4
End12.7
Second
6459
#22
60.73.0
54.757.8
Auto14.2
Teleop44.4
End2.1
blue by 4.1
3044
#19
64.81.8
65.763.9
Auto13.1
Teleop43.9
End7.8
Third
29.53.0
26.629.6
Auto7.6
Teleop20.2
End1.6
blue by 19.3
5472
#39
48.71.8
52.450.6
Auto11.7
Teleop32.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned