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Red222
353878.3
242951.4
907270.0
Blue203
246861.0
182545.5
177892.9
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207205160180200220240222203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
+21Endgame
+19Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points31
40Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +1
24Coral scored#23
86Coral points81
5Processor algae#5
10Net algae#11
30Processor points30
40Net points44
70Algae points74
156Total teleop155
Reef
11L4#10
7L3#6
7L2#7
5L1 · trough#6
45Game pieces#45
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points2
222Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.31.5
78.079.5
Auto18.5
Teleop53.0
End6.8
blue by 14.6
1778
#12
92.90.1
90.590.6
Auto18.7
Teleop71.4
End2.8
Second
70.01.5
58.960.4
Auto12.1
Teleop53.6
End4.3
red by 8.9
2468
#38
61.00.1
56.156.1
Auto8.0
Teleop44.7
End8.3
Third
2429
#64
51.41.5
51.653.1
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End7.6
red by 5.9
1825
#60
45.50.1
42.042.1
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
82%Coral oddsEarned93%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsMissed