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Red167
1042842.5
263532.2
427274.3
Blue173
150246.7
859050.7
62467.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157176100200250167173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+12
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points21
33Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +28
16Coral scored#21
56Coral points76
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#9
12Processor points12
28Net points36
40Algae points48
96Total teleop124
Reef
7L4#11
6L3#8
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
12Foul points6
167Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
#23
74.30.5
75.475.9
Auto18.6
Teleop45.6
End10.1
red by 6.9
624
#36
67.40.0
63.363.4
Auto8.4
Teleop51.7
End7.3
Second
42.50.5
40.440.9
Auto11.0
Teleop28.0
End3.5
blue by 8.2
8590
#28
50.70.0
48.948.9
Auto9.1
Teleop37.7
End3.9
Third
2635
#61
32.20.5
22.122.6
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End6.6
blue by 14.6
1502
#32
46.70.0
43.343.3
Auto10.1
Teleop30.8
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed42%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned