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Red167
546849.4
212245.6
713511.2
Blue74
833812.6
427058.4
603639.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9111105010015020016774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+43Teleop
+45Endgame
+93Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +26
13Coral scored#7
45Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
65Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#3
6L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +93
56Foul points8
167Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.42.5
34.837.3
Auto10.0
Teleop31.4
End7.9
blue by 9.1
58.44.0
40.736.7
Auto10.7
Teleop39.9
End7.9
Second
45.62.5
34.537.0
Auto14.7
Teleop26.2
End4.6
red by 6.6
39.04.0
42.938.9
Auto10.1
Teleop26.1
End2.8
Third
7135
#22
11.22.5
13.516.0
Auto4.8
Teleop3.2
End3.1
blue by 1.4
8338
#28
12.64.0
13.19.0
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned