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Red25
946515.9
833916.1
639017.8
Blue119
486218.9
312855.1
927726.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4976020406010012014016025119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+68
Endgame+70
Fouls+94
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
9Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +60
3Coral scored#13
10Coral points46
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
14Total teleop74
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +94
0Foul points24
25Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6390
#33
17.83.0
15.212.2
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End1.4
blue by 37.2
55.12.4
38.741.1
Auto8.4
Teleop36.4
End10.2
Second
8339
#38
16.13.0
19.316.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End2.5
blue by 10.1
9277
#16
26.22.4
11.613.9
Auto4.9
Teleop17.6
End3.6
Third
9465
#18
15.93.0
11.58.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End5.4
blue by 3.0
4862
#42
18.92.4
14.817.2
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned