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Red48
918020.7
719010.8
1042710.4
Blue123
551647.0
462731.5
929215.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4569010015048123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+30
Teleop+79
Endgame+75
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +30
3Leave9
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points27
6Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +49
5Coral scored#15
18Coral points55
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
0Processor points12
12Net points12
12Algae points24
30Total teleop79
Reef
2L4#9
2L3#4
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#25
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
6Foul points6
48Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9180
#37
20.70.6
19.418.7
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End-0.2
blue by 26.3
47.05.8
25.130.9
Auto15.7
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
7190
#40
10.80.6
11.010.4
Auto2.5
Teleop5.9
End2.5
blue by 20.7
4627
#19
31.55.8
15.521.3
Auto6.9
Teleop22.0
End2.6
Third
10.40.6
12.111.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.2
End2.0
blue by 4.6
9292
#20
15.15.8
18.124.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed