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Red145
237429.1
363653.0
299030.5
Blue136
99728.3
255016.5
546865.8
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15017750100200250300145136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+21Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
5Coral scored#5
25Coral points24
34Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +17
23Coral scored#16
81Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
107Total teleop90
Reef
13L4#7
8L3#7
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
145Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#12
53.00.2
63.964.2
Auto15.6
Teleop37.6
End-0.1
blue by 12.8
65.81.2
75.874.6
Auto18.0
Teleop38.0
End9.8
Second
2990
#14
30.50.2
33.433.6
Auto3.5
Teleop22.4
End4.5
red by 2.2
997
#20
28.31.2
36.435.2
Auto5.8
Teleop22.6
End-0.2
Third
29.10.2
33.633.9
Auto4.2
Teleop23.3
End1.6
red by 12.5
2550
#16
16.51.2
29.428.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned