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Red45
99976.9
273319.1
13596.4
Blue66
154046.7
404332.5
142555.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312320501001502003003504004566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+11
Endgame+23
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
28Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
2Foul points0
45Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#23
19.11.6
27.425.7
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9
blue by 36.0
55.08.9
73.264.2
Auto16.4
Teleop30.1
End8.6
Second
9997
#18
6.92.7
15.212.4
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End-0.0
blue by 39.9
1540
#11
46.78.9
66.857.9
Auto6.9
Teleop34.1
End5.8
Third
1359
#22
6.41.6
16.114.5
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End2.9
blue by 26.1
32.58.9
52.043.1
Auto10.7
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed69%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned